At $18.99, the price sits close to the 365-day low of $16.99, and far below the yearly high of $199.99. Against the calculated typical price of $129.99, that works out to an 85% discount.
That $16.99 floor, though, was only reached twice over the past year, for a combined total of eight days. The price otherwise moves slowly, changing on average every 17 days, while the 90-day trend has been sharply downward, down 47.3%.
The current price has only been beaten 14% of the time over the past year. Buyers holding out for exactly $16.99 could wait, but that low point is rare and not guaranteed to return soon. At today's price, the deal is already close to the best realistic outcome.