A recent low point, but the recent uptrend complicates timing

At $14.99, the price sits close to the 365-day low of $12.99, and well under the typical price of $33.34. The listed discount reaches 55%, a rarely seen level: over the year, the price has only been lower than this 26% of the time.

The nuance worth noting is that the 90-day trend shows a sharp increase of 62.9%. A drop is in fact underway, but only 1 day in, with about 11 days likely remaining before it ends. During sales events, a genuine discount only shows up once every six times, around 58%.

The realistically reachable floor appears to be $13.99, hit twice and held for 85 days total. With a price that shifts on average every 26 days (fairly calm), buying now at $14.99 is reasonable if that's your target, rather than waiting for a deeper dip that may not return for months.