Out of 7 events observed, the price really dropped 2 times, by about 30.9 % on average. In 2 cases, the price had climbed about 37.1 % in the two weeks before.
At $25.99, the price is at its lowest point ever recorded over the past 365 days, a level never reached before, against a yearly high of $130.38 and a calculated typical price of $80.13.
One nuance worth noting: this price is quite volatile, changing on average every 3 days, and during shopping events like Black Friday, the price had jumped about 37.1% in the two weeks beforehand on two out of seven occasions, inflating the discount shown afterward. The current drop has already lasted 16 days, matching the median duration of 16 days seen for this kind of dip, putting it near its usual limit.
The realistically achievable low price has historically been closer to $42.18, held for only 6 days total over the year. Since the current price is already below that usual floor, this is a reasonable time to act: waiting longer offers no real guarantee of improvement, given the price's volatility and how long the current dip has already run.