Out of 25 events observed, the price really dropped 18 times, by about 21 % on average. In 2 cases, the price had climbed about 15.5 % in the two weeks before.
Spring Sale 26,6 %Black Friday 25 %Cyber Monday 25 %Boxing Day 20 %
Price movement
Chart frozen on the day of analysis. Prices may have changed since.
This product sells steadily in its category on Amazon.
So, should you buy?
At $38.09, the price sits 20% below the usual price of $47.49 (a reference value calculated over 365 days). It has been lower only 4% of the observed time. The 12-month low is $34.86 and the high is $55.44.
The price is very volatile: it changes every 7 days on average. Drops below the usual price happened 5 times over the year, with a median length of 9 days, and they come back about every 45 days. The 90-day trend is slightly upward (2.1%).
A drop has been underway for 1 day, with about 8 days left. Buying now is reasonable. Waiting for a price under $35 would mean reaching the yearly low, which is rare. During sales events, the real discount is about 21% (18 times out of 25), but the price was inflated beforehand 2 times out of 25. The next likely dip would come in about 45 days.
The verdict
Buy now.
Worth it
The current price is among the lowest in its history, and well below its usual level.