Out of 19 events observed, the price really dropped 4 times, by about 13.9 % on average. In 2 cases, the price had climbed about 136 % in the two weeks before.
The current price of $6.10 is the lowest recorded over the past 365 days, well below the typical price of $21.16 and far from the yearly high of $40.32. The price has never dropped lower than this point.
That said, the 90 day trend shows a 6.3% increase, and the current price drop has already lasted 13 days, matching the median duration of the three previous drops this year, which typically last about 13 days. The price is also quite volatile, changing on average every 4 days. During commercial events, only 4 of 19 occasions offered a genuine discount, around 13.9%, and some advertised discounts were inflated by artificial price hikes beforehand.
If this price works for you, now is the time to act: this level has never been seen before, and historically these drops don't last more than two weeks before prices climb back, often toward the more realistic benchmark of $11.29 or higher.