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At year-low price, but this dip has lasted 146 days
Out of 28 events observed, the price really dropped 7 times, by about 19.6 % on average. In 2 cases, the price had climbed about 80.3 % in the two weeks before.
The current price of $24.43 matches the lowest point recorded over the past 365 days. It has never dropped below this level in that time, making it a solid benchmark against any future offer.
That said, this price dip has been running for 146 days, far longer than the median 8-day duration typically seen for such drops. The price has shown notable volatility over the year, changing roughly every 8 days on average, and commercial events delivered a genuine discount only 7 times out of 28, with some instances where the price was inflated beforehand to exaggerate the apparent savings.
Since the floor price is already in effect and the current dip has far outlasted its usual pattern, there's no indication a lower price is coming soon. Buying now looks reasonable, but it's worth watching for a rebound toward the $59.16 typical price, since a reversal could happen without warning given the price's history of volatility.