The 16 events observed produced no real discount. In 3 cases, the price had climbed about 35 % in the two weeks before.
At $119.99, this item is currently at its lowest point in the past 365 days, a level never reached before during this period. The calculated typical price stands at $724.33, placing the current gap well below anything previously observed, including the realistically attainable low of $404.77, hit only 3 times and held for just 4 days total over the year.
It's worth noting, though, that this price is highly volatile, changing on average every 2 days. The current drop has lasted 12 days, already exceeding the median 6-day duration seen in the 5 previous dips below the $724.33 mark. Also, across 16 commercial events analyzed, none delivered a genuine discount, and in 3 cases the price had even been inflated beforehand.
Given all this, waiting for a future sales event doesn't appear worthwhile. Considering the price's volatility and the already extended length of the current drop, acting soon, within the next few days, seems more sensible than waiting, which could see the price climb back up.