Out of 28 events observed, the price really dropped 4 times, by about 15.8 % on average. In 3 cases, the price had climbed about 44.7 % in the two weeks before.
The current price of $79.99 matches exactly the floor observed over the past 365 days, a level never undercut during that period. Compared to the typical price of $99.99, that's a 20% savings, and the yearly peak of $109.99 shows how wide the gap can get.
This low price is fragile, though: only two drops below $99.99 were recorded over the year, with a median duration of 22 days. The current drop is only on its first day, with roughly 21 days likely remaining before a probable return to a higher level. The price also moves frequently, changing on average every 4 days, making this one worth watching closely.
As for sales events, caution is warranted: out of 28 occasions, only 4 offered a genuine discount, and in 3 cases the price had been inflated by about 44.7% beforehand to simulate a bigger markdown. The present moment, with the price already at its yearly floor, looks more reliable than waiting for a future promotion. Acting within the next few days limits the risk of the price climbing back up.